Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.006077 0.006726 0.007433 0.008261 0.009209 0.010265 0.011535
2025-10-05 0.005004 0.005887 0.006926 0.008250 0.009910 0.011945 0.014666
2025-10-12 0.004466 0.005472 0.006719 0.008403 0.010655 0.013622 0.017924
2025-10-19 0.003994 0.005045 0.006400 0.008313 0.011009 0.014771 0.020607
2025-10-26 0.003638 0.004712 0.006144 0.008245 0.011340 0.015886 0.023386
2025-11-02 0.003327 0.004401 0.005874 0.008106 0.011524 0.016777 0.025942
2025-11-09 0.003115 0.004203 0.005734 0.008128 0.011933 0.018048 0.029331
2025-11-16 0.002902 0.003981 0.005535 0.008031 0.012130 0.018984 0.032296
2025-11-23 0.002693 0.003748 0.005298 0.007844 0.012148 0.019607 0.034782
2025-11-30 0.002578 0.003644 0.005243 0.007938 0.012642 0.021125 0.039329
2025-12-07 0.002515 0.003613 0.005296 0.008211 0.013474 0.023387 0.045948
2025-12-14 0.002383 0.003464 0.005150 0.008129 0.013651 0.024406 0.050062
2025-12-21 0.002242 0.003299 0.004973 0.007994 0.013746 0.025345 0.054414
2025-12-28 0.002136 0.003183 0.004872 0.007986 0.014091 0.026883 0.060774
2026-01-04 0.002068 0.003123 0.004857 0.008132 0.014758 0.029240 0.070088
2026-01-11 0.001966 0.003000 0.004726 0.008047 0.014935 0.030517 0.076809
2026-01-18 0.001876 0.002893 0.004612 0.007981 0.015145 0.031908 0.084393
2026-01-25 0.001784 0.002774 0.004470 0.007848 0.015188 0.032893 0.091060
2026-02-01 0.001721 0.002703 0.004409 0.007869 0.015579 0.034850 0.101878
2026-02-08 0.001647 0.002608 0.004297 0.007776 0.015693 0.036094 0.110687
2026-02-15 0.001566 0.002498 0.004150 0.007596 0.015582 0.036700 0.117331
2026-02-22 0.001527 0.002458 0.004131 0.007686 0.016135 0.039318 0.133611
2026-03-01 0.001511 0.002459 0.004191 0.007948 0.017153 0.043570 0.159830